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Why Investing in Gold and Silver Might Be a Safe Choice for 2025

03/04/25 - 2:25 pm

Amidst trade wars, geopolitical risks, and dovish central banks at the forefront of investors’ minds, Global X explores why investors may want to consider gold and silver in the context of the current environment.

Key Takeaways

  • Gold’s Safe-Haven Appeal: Amid renewed geopolitical risk and shifting U.S. policy, gold has rallied to record highs in 20251. Investor demand is surging, driven by its traditional role as a store of value and supported by tariff concerns and arbitrage opportunities in the futures market.
  • Silver’s Dual Demand Drivers: Silver offers both precious metal stability and industrial growth potential. With robust industrial demand—especially from green technologies—and a historically high gold-to-silver ratio, silver may be undervalued and positioned for further upside.
  • Diverse Access Points for Investors: Exposure to precious metals can be achieved through physical bullion, futures, mining stocks, or ETFs. Each approach carries different benefits and risks, with ETFs offering liquidity, diversification, and cost efficiency.
Image shows Global X's five precious metals ETFs: GLDX, HUG, HUZ, HGY, GLCC.

Gold

Gold has historically served as a store of value during market turbulence. Its physical nature can offer a sense of stability when risk sentiment turns.

That safe haven role is in focus again in early 2025, as investors respond to renewed geopolitical tensions and shifting U.S. policy under President Donald Trump. Gold has hit fresh record highs, extending strong gains from last year.

Chart shows the price of gold since 2020 with title "US Tariff Fears Drive Gold Price Higher".

While not yet directly targeted by tariffs, precious metals could be caught in broader trade actions1. That risk has spurred a transatlantic shift in holdings, with more gold moving from London to New York as investors seek stability.

Concern over U.S. import tariffs have driven Comex gold futures prices above spot prices, creating a lucrative arbitrage opportunity, resulting in gold bullion inventories reaching record highs:

Chart showing inventory of gold bullion in Comex warehouses in millions of troy ounces from 1992 to 2025.

To take advantage of the high premium gold futures have been experiencing, financial institutions have been flying gold from Asia and the Middle East to North America. Traditionally, gold bullion is transported eastwards from the West to meet demand in China and India, the world’s two largest consumers.

Image showing headshot of Global X Research Analyst Brooke Thackray.

“It is possible that we could see the transatlantic shipments slow once the U.S. tariff issue is resolved, but several other factors are driving the price of gold higher, including a declining U.S. dollar and declining interest rates,” says Global X Research Analyst Brooke Thackray.

One major bank predicts that gold’s rally may have further to run: Goldman Sachs has updated its year-end gold price forecast to $3,300 an ounce.

Silver

While both gold and silver are classified as precious metals, silver stands out for its industrial utility — which accounts for roughly 58%3 of annual demand. In contrast, only about 11% of gold demand is industrial, with the rest tied to jewelry, bullion, and central banks.

As a result, silver prices are influenced by both safe-haven demand and trends in industrial activity, giving it a more diversified demand profile than gold.

Ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic risks have supported demand for safe-haven assets. A spike in silver prices was further driven by short covering in the futures market amid concerns over President Trump’s tariff agenda.

Chart showing spot silver price from 2020 to present.

Another valuation used by investors and traders to assess the relative value of the two precious metals and help guide buy or sell decisions is the gold-to-silver ratio, which measures the number of ounces of silver that equals the price of one ounce of gold.

Chart showing the Gold/Silver Ratio from 2010 to present.
Note: June 28, 2011, is highlighted in the chart as the lowest point for silver due to the U.S. debt ceiling crisis.

Historically, the ratio has averaged approximately 65 over the last 30 years.4 With the ratio currently near 90, it may signal that silver is undervalued relative to gold.

“There is a positive correlation between the price of gold and silver, as both are classified as precious metals. Silver is often referred to as the poor man’s gold,” Global X’s Thackray adds.

“The gold to silver ratio can only be stretched so far, before investors take an increasing interest in silver.”

The silver market is forecast to record another significant deficit, according to data from the industry body The Silver Institute:

  • Silver demand is expected to remain stable in 2025 at 1.20 billion ounces.
  • Silver supply is seen reaching an 11-year high of 1.05 billion ounces in 2025.
  • Silver physical investment forecast to rise by 3%.

The Silver Institute says that silver industrial demand will remain the key driver of the supply/demand backdrop, with volumes projected to hit a new record high this year.

The silver industry body sees increased industrial usage gains coming from “Green Economy” applications (such as solar panels) and consumer electronics.

How To Invest

Investors have several options for gaining exposure to gold and silver — from buying physical bullion to trading futures.

Another approach is through mining stocks or ETFs, which are generally more liquid and can offer leveraged exposure to precious metals prices. Miners may benefit from rising prices by expanding production and increasing margins, unlike physical holdings.

Mining stocks can also add diversification to portfolios, particularly in times of geopolitical uncertainty. ETFs may help mitigate single-stock risk by holding a broad basket of miners or even direct exposure to the metals themselves — all under one management fee.

In a climate of trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, gold and silver remain relevant portfolio tools. Gold offers a traditional hedge in volatile markets, while silver’s mix of industrial and precious metal demand adds diversification. With silver trading at a discount to gold and supply lagging demand in 2025, investor interest may continue to grow.

Whether through bullion, futures, or ETFs, investors have flexible options to gain exposure and position for resilience in a shifting global environment.

Related ETFs

SOURCES

1 Source: Bloomberg News (February 27, 2025), What’s Driving the Gold Rush From London to New York?

2 Source: Bloomberg News (March 14, 2025), Gold Breaks Through $3,000 as Trump Turbocharges Record Rally

3 Industrial demand is calculated as a percentage of total demand from the Silver Institute’s World Silver Survey 2024.

4 Source: Global X ETFs US (June 9, 2022), Silver, Explained

DISCLAIMERS

Commissions, management fees, and expenses all may be associated with an investment in products (the “Global X Funds”) managed by Global X Investments Canada Inc. The Global X Funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.  Certain Global X Funds may have exposure to leveraged investment techniques that magnify gains and losses which may result in greater volatility in value and could be subject to aggressive investment risk and price volatility risk. Such risks are described in the prospectus. The prospectus contains important detailed information about the Global X Funds. Please read the relevant prospectus before investing.

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Global X Investments Canada Inc. (“Global X”) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd. (“Mirae Asset”), the Korea-based asset management entity of Mirae Asset Financial Group.  Global X is a corporation existing under the laws of Canada and is the manager, investment manager and trustee of the Global X Funds.

© 2025 Global X Investments Canada Inc. All Rights Reserved.

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Published April 3, 2025.

Commissions, management fees, and expenses all may be associated with an investment in products (the "Global X Funds") managed by Global X Investments Canada Inc. The Global X Funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Certain Global X Funds may have exposure to leveraged investment techniques that magnify gains and losses which may result in greater volatility in value and could be subject to aggressive investment risk and price volatility risk. Such risks are described in the prospectus. The Global X Money Market Funds are not covered by the Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, or any other government deposit insurer. There can be no assurances that the money market fund will be able to maintain its net asset value per security at a constant amount or that the full amount of your investment in the Funds will be returned to you. Past performance may not be repeated. The prospectus contains important detailed information about the Global X Funds. Please read the relevant prospectus before investing.

Global X Investments Canada Inc. ("Global X") is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd. ("Mirae Asset"), the Korea-based asset management entity of Mirae Asset Financial Group. Global X is a corporation existing under the laws of Canada and is the manager, investment manager and trustee of the Global X Funds.

© 2025 Global X Investments Canada Inc. All Rights Reserved.